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IMAT Cut-Offs 2023–2025: The Full 3-Year Trend Analysis

IMAT Cut-Off Trends 2023-2025 | LOCOMOTIVE
Scores & Cut-offs

IMAT Cut-Offs 2023–2025: The Full 3-Year Trend Analysis

Every university, three admission cycles, EU and non-EU pools tracked completely separately

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12 min read Data: MUR official rankings 2023–2025
IMAT cut-offs 2023 to 2025 full trend analysis, EU and non-EU pools compared, by LOCOMOTIVE

IMAT Cut-Off Trends 2023-2025: Why One Year Isn't Enough

These IMAT cut-off trends 2023-2025 tell a clear story once you line up all three years: cut-offs move, sometimes by a lot. A university that looked safe last year can flip into a reach this year, and vice versa. We pulled three full admission cycles — 2023, 2024, 2025 — for every Italian public medicine university, kept EU and non-EU seat pools completely separate, and tracked how each one actually moved.

⚠️ One thing before the data

The IMAT scoring scale changed between the 2023 and 2024 cycles — every university's cut-off jumped roughly 15–25 points, in both EU and non-EU pools, which is far too uniform to be a real jump in applicant strength. Because of this, we never compare raw 2023 scores to 2024/2025 scores directly. Instead, for the 3-year trend, we compare each university's rank — its competitive position relative to the others that year — which holds up even when the scoring scale underneath it changes.

18

Universities tracked

3

Admission cycles compared

Non-EU volatility vs EU

Part 1 — The EU Pool, 2023–2025

Start here — this is the pool most applicants are actually competing in. These IMAT cut-off trends 2023-2025 are fairly stable on the EU side year to year: the universities that are hard stay hard, the ones that are easy stay easy, and most of the movement is gradual rather than dramatic.

At a glance

2025 EU Cut-offs — Hardest to Easiest

Red = hardest tier · Green = easiest tier · Teal = mid-pack

Final cut-offs, 2023–2025

UniversityEU seats (2025)202320242025
Milano Statale5546.667.865.8
La Sapienza4545.465.165.8*
Bicocca3043.364.864.8
Bologna13042.664.860.5
Pavia10338.459.160.1
Turin7037.459.559.1
Padova7538.763.258.6
Federico II2545.261.458.3
La Sapienza (Dentistry)1938.761.856.7
Parma7535.357.656.1
Tor Vergata6038.559.556.0
Bari6934.155.853.1
Marche (Ancona)2035.356.652.8
Luigi Vanvitelli6035.057.352.0
Messina5532.854.651.3
Cagliari8054.750.9
Catania032.454.8
Siena (Dentistry)3333.255.7

Source: MUR official IMAT EU rankings, final cut-offs, 2023–2025. * denotes an adjusted final figure noted in the source data.

EU rank stability, 2023 → 2025

Ranked 1 (hardest) to 15 (easiest) within each year, using the 15 universities with complete 3-year EU data.

University202320242025Max swingReading
Milano Statale111.50.5Rock solid hardest EU school
La Sapienza221.50.5Rock solid always top 2
Bicocca43.531Stable, top tier
Bologna53.541.5Stable, top tier
Padova6.5572Fairly stable, upper-mid
La Sapienza (Dentistry)6.5693Drifting easier
Federico II3785Falling fast — was top 3
Tor Vergata88.5113Drifting easier
Pavia91055Rising fast despite 103 seats
Turin108.564Climbing
Parma1111101Stable, mid-pack
Marche (Ancona)11.513131.5Stable, lower-mid
Luigi Vanvitelli1312142Stable, lower-mid
Bari1414122Stable, lower tier
Messina1515150Perfectly consistent — always easiest

Milano Statale, La Sapienza, Bicocca, and Bologna have not left the top 5 hardest EU schools in three straight cycles, on two different scoring scales — as close to a guarantee as this data gets. Messina has finished dead last (easiest) three years running, without exception.

Where the outdated advice is hiding

Getting harderPavia

103 EU seats — the second-largest pool in the country — makes it look like a numbers-driven safety choice. It isn't anymore: rank climbed from 9th hardest (2023) to 5th hardest (2025). Don't pick it purely because of the seat count.

Getting easierFederico II

Was a top-3 hardest EU school in 2023. By 2025 it had slipped to 8th — likely because its EU seat allocation nearly doubled (15 → 25) between 2023 and 2024. Its "ultra-competitive" reputation is out of date.

Two more are worth watching: Turin is quietly climbing (10th → 6th hardest), while Tor Vergata and La Sapienza (Dentistry) are quietly loosening (8th → 11th, and 6.5th → 9th) — moving opposite to what their older reputations suggest.

The Latest Shift: EU 2024 → 2025

Zooming into just the most recent cycle: 2025 was an easier EU year almost everywhere. 13 of 15 comparable universities saw their cut-off drop, some by 3–5 points, while only La Sapienza and Pavia ticked up.

At a glance

Who Got Easier, Who Got Harder — EU, 2024 → 2025

Green bars = cut-off dropped (easier) · Red bars = cut-off rose (harder)

University20242025Change
Luigi Vanvitelli57.352.0−5.3
La Sapienza (Dentistry)61.856.7−5.1
Padova63.258.6−4.6
Bologna64.860.5−4.3
Cagliari54.750.9−3.8
Marche (Ancona)56.652.8−3.8
Tor Vergata59.556.0−3.5
Messina54.651.3−3.3
Federico II61.458.3−3.1
Bari55.853.1−2.7
Milano Statale67.865.8−2.0
Turin59.559.1−0.4
Bicocca64.864.80.0
La Sapienza65.165.8+0.7
Pavia59.160.1+1.0

Bologna's drop lines up with a large EU seat expansion (97 → 130). Most of the others eased with no change in seat count at all — pointing to a softer applicant field overall in 2025, not just more room.

Part 2 — The Non-EU Pool, 2023–2025

This is the part that catches people off guard. Non-EU seat pools are much smaller than EU pools — often 10 to 50 seats instead of 40 to 130 — so a handful of unusually strong or weak applicants in a single cycle can swing a cut-off by ten points or more. Looking at the IMAT cut-off trends 2023-2025 for non-EU seats, the pattern is clear: the EU pool moves like a market, while the non-EU pool moves like individual weather systems.

At a glance

2025 Non-EU Cut-offs — Hardest to Easiest

Red = hardest tier · Green = easiest tier · Teal = mid-pack

Cut-offs, 2023–2025

University202320242025
Milano Statale / Milan60.275.772.9
Bologna59.174.571.1
La Sapienza (Dentistry)59.173.171.8
La Sapienza (Medicine)50.873.465.8
Bicocca54.272.665.1
Pavia53.371.271.9
Padova49.571.665.4
Tor Vergata53.460.669.1
Turin49.070.867.1
Parma50.159.167.6
Siena (Dentistry)51.369.352.0
Federico II52.068.163.1
Luigi Vanvitelli47.363.266.2
Bari31.265.850.9
Messina36.961.458.2
Marche (Ancona)43.060.358.2
Cagliari56.554.7
CataniaN/A57.2
Bologna (VetMed)40.6

Source: MUR official IMAT non-EU rankings, 2023–2025.

Non-EU rank stability, 2023 → 2025

Ranked 1 (hardest) to 16 (easiest) among the 16 universities with complete 3-year non-EU data.

University202320242025Max swingReading
Milano Statale1110Perfectly consistent — hardest, every year
Bologna2.5242Stable, top tier
La Sapienza (Dentistry)2.5431.5Stable, top tier
Marche (Ancona)141513.51.5Stable, low tier
Messina151313.52Stable, low tier
Pavia6724Climbing
Turin12875Climbing
Luigi Vanvitelli131285Climbing
Padova116105Volatile
Federico II710125Drifting easier
Bari1611165Wildly volatile
La Sapienza (Medicine)9396Volatile — spiked in 2024
Bicocca45117Sharp drop — was top 5
Siena (Dentistry)89157Sharp drop
Tor Vergata51459Extremely volatile
Parma1016610Most volatile in the dataset

Milano Statale is the only university that is completely predictable in both pools — rank 1 in non-EU, three years straight. Parma and Tor Vergata are essentially unforecastable in the non-EU pool: Parma swung 10 → 16 → 6, Tor Vergata swung 5 → 14 → 5. Neither should get a fixed difficulty label — plan for a wide range, not a single number.

The Latest Shift: Non-EU 2024 → 2025

Unlike the EU pool — which moved almost entirely in one direction — the non-EU pool moved both ways at once in the latest cycle.

At a glance

Who Got Easier, Who Got Harder — Non-EU, 2024 → 2025

Green bars = cut-off dropped (easier) · Red bars = cut-off rose (harder)

University20242025Change
Siena (Dentistry)69.352.0−17.3
Bari65.850.9−14.9
La Sapienza (Medicine)73.465.8−7.6
Bicocca72.665.1−7.5
Padova71.665.4−6.2
Federico II68.163.1−5.0
Turin70.867.1−3.7
Bologna74.571.1−3.4
Messina61.458.2−3.2
Milano Statale75.772.9−2.8
Marche (Ancona)60.358.2−2.1
La Sapienza (Dentistry)73.171.8−1.3
Pavia71.271.9+0.7
Luigi Vanvitelli63.266.2+3.0
Parma59.167.6+8.5
Tor Vergata60.669.1+8.5

Most non-EU cut-offs eased, some sharply. But Parma and Tor Vergata both got noticeably harder, by the same +8.5 points. The non-EU pool doesn't move as one market the way the EU pool seems to — it moves school by school, driven by much smaller and far less correlated applicant pools.

Want the low-threshold-specific breakdown?

If your score sits in the 50–65 range, we have a dedicated guide to the most accessible universities and a score-to-strategy framework.

Lowest Threshold Guide

IMAT Cut-Off Trends 2023-2025: EU vs Non-EU, Which Pool Can You Trust

Comparing the two rank-volatility tables side by side gives a clear headline: non-EU cut-offs are structurally less predictable than EU cut-offs.

EU pool

~2.7

average max rank-swing over 3 years. Only Federico II and Pavia broke 4.

Non-EU pool

~5.4

average max rank-swing — roughly double. Six universities swung 5+ ranks.

This makes structural sense: non-EU seat counts are much smaller (often 10–50 vs 40–130 for EU), so a handful of unusually strong or weak applicants in a given cycle can swing the cut-off dramatically. EU cut-off predictions can reasonably be trusted a year out for most universities. Non-EU cut-off predictions cannot — and any non-EU guidance should say so explicitly rather than implying the same confidence level as EU guidance.

At a glance

Rank Swing, University by University (2023–2025)

How many rank positions each university moved across three years — bigger bar = less predictable

EU pool Non-EU pool

💡 The clearest single fact in the dataset

Milano Statale is the only university with zero rank movement across all three non-EU cycles — rank 1, every year — and it has stayed in the top 1.5 hardest EU spots the whole time too. If you make one absolute claim about IMAT difficulty, make it this one.

IMAT Cut-Off Trends 2023-2025: The Bottom Line, University by University

EU pool — claims you can trust

  • Hardest, consistently Milano Statale, La Sapienza, Bicocca, Bologna
  • Easiest, consistently Messina, Bari, Luigi Vanvitelli, Marche (Ancona)
  • Outdated framing to fix Federico II (no longer elite-tier), Pavia (no longer a high-probability seat-count play)

Non-EU pool — claims you can trust

  • Hardest, consistently Milano Statale — the only school with zero rank movement across all three years
  • Stable and lower tier Marche (Ancona), Messina
  • Do not assign a fixed label Parma, Tor Vergata, Bari — all three have shown 5+ rank swings in three years and should be presented with a range, not a point estimate

🎯 For your preference list

Anchor your EU planning on the stable tiers above — three years of data back both the reach group and the safety group. For non-EU, treat every cut-off as the middle of a range rather than a target: use the higher of the last two years as your benchmark and add a buffer, especially for Parma, Tor Vergata, and Bari.


Frequently Asked Questions

The IMAT scoring scale changed between the 2023 and 2024 cycles — every university's cut-off jumped 15 to 25 points, in both the EU and non-EU pools, which is too uniform to be a real shift in applicant strength. That's why, when you read the IMAT cut-off trends 2023-2025, we compare each university's rank instead of its raw score to get an accurate 3-year picture.

Milano Statale, La Sapienza, Bicocca, and Bologna have held the top four hardest EU spots for three straight cycles. Messina has been the easiest EU school for three straight cycles, with zero rank movement.

Yes. Across the three cycles tracked, non-EU cut-offs swung roughly twice as much as EU cut-offs on average, because non-EU seat pools are much smaller and more sensitive to a single cycle's applicant pool.

Not anymore. Despite having 103 EU seats, Pavia's competitive rank has climbed from 9th hardest in 2023 to 5th hardest in 2025. Seat count alone is no longer a reliable indicator of difficulty for this university.

Milano Statale. It is the only university in the entire dataset with zero rank movement across all three years in the non-EU pool, and it has stayed in the top 1.5 hardest spots in the EU pool every year as well.

Want the full breakdown for a single year?

Each cycle has its own dedicated page with the complete official results, university by university.

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